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TOPIC 3.1.63

Swap Spread Arbitrage Strategy (MIBOR OIS vs G-Secs)

Cash G-Sec vs Synthetic OIS Spread Arbitrage, Repo Funding & CCIL Clearing Dynamics
DIFFICULTY LEVELAdvanced|TIME TO COMPLETE5-10 Minutes

Introductory Context

"Exploits structural spread mispricings between physical Government of India benchmark bonds and interbank MIBOR Overnight Indexed Swaps (OIS)."

Cash G-Sec vs Synthetic OIS: The Swap Spread Anomaly

In Indian fixed income markets, the Swap Spread represents the yield difference between a fixed-rate interbank swap (MIBOR Overnight Indexed Swap - OIS) and a risk-free Government of India (G-Sec) bond of identical maturity:

Swap Spread (SS) = OIS Swap Rate - Matched G-Sec Yield

Under frictionless markets, swap spreads reflect systemic banking credit risk and sovereign supply dynamics. When government debt issuance surges (heavy weekly borrowing auctions), G-Sec yields rise while OIS rates remain anchored to RBI monetary policy, causing swap spreads to tighten or turn negative. Quantitative desks harvest mean-reverting mispricings by pairing cash G-Secs with OIS contracts.

Important Key Principle

• The Swap Spread Arbitrage Rule in One Sentence

Track the 5-year MIBOR OIS minus 5-year G-Sec swap spread; when the spread narrows below its 1-year historical band (< -1.8σ), execute a Pay Fixed OIS + Buy G-Sec spread trade, capturing spread expansion as sovereign supply is absorbed.

Execution Architecture in India (CCIL & NDS-OM)

The trade package combines an exchange-cleared OTC derivative with a physical sovereign bond:

Leg 1: Long Physical G-Sec (Financed via Repo)

Buy 5-Year GoI Benchmark bond on RBI NDS-OM; fund the position via overnight CCIL TREPS (Tri-Party Repo) at the prevailing overnight money market rate (~6.50% - 6.65%).

Leg 2: Pay Fixed MIBOR OIS (Receive Floating)

Enter a 5-Year MIBOR Overnight Indexed Swap paying fixed coupon and receiving daily compounding MIBOR (floating overnight rate).

  • Net Floating Cashflow: The floating MIBOR received on the swap perfectly offsets the overnight repo financing cost paid on the bond.
  • Net Fixed Cashflow: The desk locks in the net spread: G-Sec Yield - OIS Fixed Rate. As swap spreads normalize toward historical equilibrium, the desk unwinds both legs at a substantial capital gain.
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Written By: Editorial Team

Disclaimer: While due care has been taken to ensure the accuracy, clarity, and relevance of the information, the content is intended solely for educational purposes. Financial terms and concepts are interpretative tools; readers are strongly advised to verify information from multiple sources and apply their own judgment. This content does not constitute financial, investment, or advisory recommendations of any kind.